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1 Margin of Error | Washington Monthly
https://washingtonmonthly.com/2008/08/13/margin-of-error/
Yes, I would like to receive emails from Washington Monthly. (You can unsubscribe anytime). Constant Contact Use. Please leave this field ...
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2 One Last Encore for the Great “Statistical Tie” Fallacy
https://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2012/10/one-last-encore-great-statistical-tie-fallacy/
› kevin-drum › 2012/10
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3 Control of the Senate is coming down to four seats - Kevin Drum
https://jabberwocking.com/control-of-the-senate-is-coming-down-to-four-seats/
› control-of-the-senate-is-co...
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4 Answers to your questions about polling and elections.
https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2021/03/17/answers-to-your-questions-about-polling-and-elections/
› 2021/03/17 › a...
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5 polling data – Presidential Power
https://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/tag/polling-data/
› presidentialpower › tag
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6 "A STATISTICAL TIE". - The American Prospect
https://prospect.org/article/a-statistical-tie-./
› article › a-statistical-tie-
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7 Tester still trails Rehberg - Flathead Memo by James Conner
https://www.flatheadmemo.com/archives_2012/july-sept/2012-09-25_tester_still_trails_rehberg.html
› july-sept › 2012-09-...
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8 What polling does — and doesn't — tell us | PBS NewsHour
https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/your-guide-to-understanding-polls
› your-guide-to-understanding-polls
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9 Audit Notes: digital ads, margins of error, freehadists
https://www.cjr.org/the_audit/audit_notes_digital_ads_margin.php
› the_audit › audit_notes_digital_a...
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10 تويتر \ Michael McDonald على تويتر: "When I correct for non ...
https://mobile.twitter.com/electproject/status/921393924979163136?lang=ar-x-fm
اقتباس التغريدة. Kevin Drum ... The margin of error of the sub-group will be large with 78 respondents in 2012 and 61 in 2016.
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11 FBI arrest could boost Kelley's primary run for governor, poll ...
https://www.freep.com/story/news/politics/2022/06/16/fbi-arrest-could-boost-kelleys-primary-run-governor-poll-shows/7626193001/
› news › politics › 2022/06/16
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12 Pof popularity poll - otto-hahn-schule.eu
https://www.otto-hahn-schule.eu/fileadmin/content/guys-ignore-after-hookup/pof-popularity-poll.php
On Jan. The poll has a margin of error of pof popularity poll. But for how long? Join Plenty of Fish. Close Ad. Kevin Drum Misses the Point. Poopularity pof ...
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13 what does an election forecast mean? - Peter Levine
https://peterlevine.ws/?p=9900
Oct 16, 2012 —
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14 Princeton Election Consortium
https://election.princeton.edu/articles/the-cell-phone-effect-about-1-percent/
The question of whether polls have systematic errors is a continuing one. ... this leads to an error of about 0.13*0.185 = 2.4% in the Obama-McCain margin.
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15 An Election 2012 Surprise: California May Matter Most
https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2012/03/an-election-2012-surprise-california-may-matter-most/254526/
› archive › 2012/03 › an-el...
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16 Not a recession … yet - Econbrowser
https://econbrowser.com/archives/2022/10/not-a-recession-yet
› archives › 2022/10 › not-a-r...
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17 Charlie Crist leads Ron DeSantis amid COVID-19 surge
https://floridapolitics.com/archives/445638-shock-poll-charlie-crist-leads-ron-desantis-amid-covid-19-surge/
› archives › 445638-shock-p...
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18 State of the Village
https://www.vopnc.org/home/showpublisheddocument/13146/637824355505370000
› showpublisheddocument
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19 UH/Hobby poll: Mealer 47, Hidalgo 45 - Off the Kuff
https://www.offthekuff.com/wp/?p=107525
Oct 25, 2022 —
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20 Have Pollsters Cleaned Up Their Act in Time for the Midterms?
https://www.wired.com/story/2022-midterms-polls-g-elliott-morris-q-a/
› Business › politics
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21 The 'statistical tie' fallacy - Freethought Blogs –
https://freethoughtblogs.com/singham/2012/10/03/the-statistical-tie-fallacy/
One of the things they do is to assert that if the difference between the predicted votes for two candidates is smaller than the margin of error ...
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22 From the movie Margin Call, 2011 - Senior Partners' Emergency ...
https://www.factsandarts.com/index.php/editor-letter/movie-margin-call-2011-senior-partners-emergency-meeting?page=86
In January last year I wrote about Kevin Drum's article on the Mother Jones about the hypothesis that the fall in crime rates in America and in other ...
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23 Margin of error | Psychology Wiki - Fandom
https://psychology.fandom.com/wiki/Margin_of_error
This maximum margin of error can be calculated as the radius of the confidence interval for a reported percentage of 50%. Like confidence intervals, the margin ...
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24 A Health Care Proposal - Econlib
https://www.econlib.org/archives/2008/02/a_health_care_p.html
from Kevin Drum: But if it's price signals and competition you're after, why not cut out the middleman and have consumers pay doctors directly?
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25 Bloggers react to Joe Lieberman's defeat
https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2006/08/bloggers-react-to-joe-lieberman-s-defeat.html
› news-and-politics › 2006/08 › blogg...
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26 Bradley effect - Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bradley_effect
› wiki › Bradley_effect
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27 Matt Grossmann
https://mattgrossmann.tumblr.com/page/4
› page
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28 Ezra Klein - Americans prefer Democrats to Republicans ...
http://voices.washingtonpost.com/ezra-klein/2010/09/americans_prefer_democrats_to.html
Kevin Drum highlights some of the results from the latest Washington Post poll: This is, of course, the lament of many majority parties ...
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29 The RCP Blog - RealClearPolitics
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/blog/2005/10/election_2005_virginia_1.html
› blog › 2005/10 › el...
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30 Why Oh Why Can't We Have a Better Press Corps
https://www.bradford-delong.com/2005/07/why_oh_why_cant_2.html
Kevin Drum writes: The Washington Monthly: [Re] Diane Ravitch's op-ed about math instruction in the Wall Street Journal, I've now learned of two [more ...
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31 Most Don't Care About the Metaverse, but Moviegoers Tell a ...
https://morningconsult.com/2022/09/27/frequent-moviegoers-are-more-open-to-metaverse/
Media and entertainment analyst Kevin Tran unpacks why frequent moviegoers should be targeted in the metaverse.
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32 Sully is Fiction | ScienceBlogs
https://scienceblogs.com/evolutionblog/2016/09/20/sully-is-fiction
Kevin Drum has a short post noting that Trump has taught other Republican politicians how to lie more brazenly. Politicians have never been ...
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33 Updated NBA MVP Rankings: Stephen Curry, Kevin Durant ...
https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2950888-updated-nba-mvp-rankings-stephen-curry-kevin-durant-separate-from-the-pack
Stephen Curry and Kevin Durant don't share a locker room or even a conference anymore, but they could spend the 2021-22 NBA campaign together in one respect ...
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34 Gallup's Democratic Surge? | HuffPost Latest News
https://www.huffpost.com/entry/gallups-democratic-surge_n_657568
Elsewhere, Kevin Drum, Tom Schaller and Andrew Sullivan offered alternative ... Keep in mind that each week's result, and the reported margin of error, ...
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35 Who's to Blame for the Mess in Washington? Analysis of Chart ...
https://peltiertech.com/analysis-of-chart-types-whos-to-blame-for-the-mess-in-washington/
› analysis-of-chart-types-whos-to...
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36 New poll hints at contentious assessor race - POLITICO
https://www.politico.com/newsletters/illinois-playbook/2021/09/23/new-poll-hints-at-contentious-assessor-race-494446
› newsletters › 2021/09/23
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37 New Jersey's 7th Congressional District election, 2022
https://ballotpedia.org/New_Jersey%27s_7th_Congressional_District_election,_2022
› ...
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38 Dick Morris Award Nominee - The Dish
https://dish.andrewsullivan.com/category/awards/dick-morris-award-nominee/
› category › awards › d...
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39 Stop talking about “statistical ties”: What are the actual ...
https://asintunado.wordpress.com/2016/04/03/stop-talking-about-statistical-ties-what-are-the-actual-chances-your-favorite-vp-will-win/
› 2016/04/03 › stop-t...
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40 10/18/22 ☀️ Punchbowl News AM
https://punchbowl.news/archive/101822-punchbowl-news-am/
It's three weeks until Election Day. We're going to focus again today on our recent conversations with House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy over ...
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41 Our Statistician is Marge Innovera - Ezra Klein
https://ezraklein.typepad.com/blog/2007/09/our-statisticia.html
TNR's Noam Schieber writes, "the margin of error for the likely-voter portion of the poll, where Obama leads Clinton by 4 points, is plus or ...
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42 Biden's Polls and Magical Thinking - Outside The Beltway
https://www.outsidethebeltway.com/bidens-polls-and-magical-thinking/
› bidens-polls-and-...
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43 Sanders vs. the DNC: Will convention committee ...
https://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/sanders-vs-the-dnc-will-convention-committee-appointments-backfire-msna857006
› msnbc › sanders-vs-the-dnc-...
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44 Polls suggest Edmondson has better chance against Stitt than ...
https://www.normantranscript.com/news/government/polls-suggest-edmondson-has-better-chance-against-stitt-than-cornett/article_017ec643-cebe-5f44-8747-3790d0bf2df5.html
› news › government
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45 Energy Headlines - June 3, 2005 - Resilience.org
https://www.resilience.org/stories/2005-06-02/energy-headlines-june-3-2005/
› stories › energy-headlines-j...
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46 The ResizeObserver API: A tutorial with examples
https://blog.logrocket.com/how-to-use-the-resizeobserver-api-a-tutorial-with-examples/
› how-to-use-the-resizeobser...
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47 Morning D'oh! Chris Christie Falsely Claims President Obama ...
https://www.mediaite.com/tv/morning-doh-chris-christie-falsely-claims-president-obama-had-filibuster-proof-majority-for-2-years/
Dec 20, 2011 —
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48 5 reasons neither Obama nor Mitt Romney can pull ahead
https://theweek.com/articles/474045/5-reasons-neither-obama-nor-mitt-romney-pull-ahead
› articles › 5-reasons-neither-obam...
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49 1. Marge d'erreur générale pour un sondage
https://dimension.usherbrooke.ca/pages/77
Translate this page
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50 No Margin for Error - ABC News
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-09-02/no-margin-for-error/4931274
› news › no-margin-for-error
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51 Scepticism's limits | The Economist
https://www.economist.com/democracy-in-america/2009/12/11/scepticisms-limits
› scepticisms-limits
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52 Rising numbers of Americans concerned about political violence
https://thehill.com/policy/national-security/3629734-rising-numbers-of-americans-concerned-about-political-violence-poll/
› policy › national-security › 36297...
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53 Indoor Drumline / Overview - Loudoun County Public Schools
https://www.lcps.org/domain/15033
Some members have no marching band experience at all – Indoor Drumline welcomes orchestra, guitar, and solo instrumentalists with no prior ensemble involvement.
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54 Fans chant 'Free Kyrie' as Irving watches Nets from sideline
https://www.nydailynews.com/sports/basketball/nets/ny-kyrie-irving-covid-vaccine-barclays-center-20220313-r6xs2t5fxfdopb6xyk6wwacc6y-story.html
› sports › basketball › nets
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55 Professional Frame Drum Repair | The Drum Doctor
https://www.drumdr.com/frame-drum-repair.html
Professional frame drum repair, including head replacement and artwork preservation. We repair all types of frame drums from all over the world.
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56 How American political polling got messed up | Salon.com
https://www.salon.com/2022/03/15/how-american-political-polling-got-messed-up/
› ... › Matthew Rozsa's Articles
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57 Idiosyncratic Whisk
https://www.idiosyncraticwhisk.com/
A few weeks ago, Kevin Drum wrote a blog post that expressed skepticism about "America's housing crisis." He got quite a bit of pushback against that, ...
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58 Fresno and San Diego Republicans Rally Around Trump and ...
http://www.allgov.com/usa/ca/news/controversies/fresno-and-san-diego-republicans-rally-around-trump-and-his-anti-muslim-policies-151210?news=857989
› usa › news › controversies › f...
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59 Contra Drum On The Fish Oil Story - by Scott Alexander
https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/contra-drum-on-the-fish-oil-story
› contra-drum-on-t...
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60 Why McCain Likes Obama's New 'Lead'
https://washingtonindependent.com/6366/why-mccain-likes-obamas-new-lead/
› why-mccain-likes...
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61 Does America Face a 'boom' in Retiree Bankruptcies?
https://www.aei.org/articles/does-america-face-a-boom-in-retiree-bankruptcies/
› articles › does-america-face-a-bo...
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62 polls | Observationalism
https://observationalism.com/tag/polls/
› tag › polls
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63 Progressive policy ideas are popular — sometimes! - Vox
https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2019/7/26/8910009/progressive-agenda-popular-decriminalize
› policy-and-politics › progressiv...
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64 Warnock holds narrow lead over Walker in Georgia runoff: poll
https://www.informnny.com/hill-politics/warnock-holds-narrow-lead-over-walker-in-georgia-runoff-poll/
› hill-politics › warnock-h...
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65 National Commission on the BP Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill
https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/GPO-OILCOMMISSION/pdf/GPO-OILCOMMISSION.pdf
› content › pkg › pdf › G...
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66 Bankruptcy rising for older Americans - Bogleheads.org
https://www.bogleheads.org/forum/viewtopic.php?t=255819
› forum › viewtopic
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67 Identifying and Minimizing the Risk of Election Subversion and ...
https://harvardlawreview.org/2022/04/identifying-and-minimizing-the-risk-of-election-subversion-and-stolen-elections-in-the-contemporary-united-states/
› 2022/04 › identifying-a...
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68 RIP GOP: How the New America Is Dooming the Republicans
https://books.google.com/books?id=lV2IDwAAQBAJ&pg=PT207&lpg=PT207&dq=margin+of+error+kevin+drum&source=bl&ots=YvnjqMeiVW&sig=ACfU3U0jrTDM42bL5ok-VMtyWbhIZLKe4A&hl=en&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwjYofS7qeL7AhVzq3IEHbt3CysQ6AF6BQixAhAD
Margin of error for the full sample is +/-3.27 percentage points at the 95 ... “The Low Wage Americans,” The New York Times, July 27, 2013; Kevin Drum, ...
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69 Lunsford Pulls Even With McConnell in New Democratic Poll
https://www.rollcall.com/2008/10/30/lunsford-pulls-even-with-mcconnell-in-new-democratic-poll/
› 2008/10/30 › lunsford-pulls-...
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70 More from Politics News - Page 7823
https://www.cbsnews.com/latest/politics/7823/
› Politics
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71 Even If We Could Afford To Build A Death Star It Would Still Be ...
https://www.forbes.com/sites/erikkain/2012/02/24/even-if-we-could-afford-to-build-a-death-star-it-would-still-be-a-bad-idea/
› sites › erikkain › 2012/02/24
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72 afh33-337_dafgm2021-01.pdf - Air Force - AF.mil
https://static.e-publishing.af.mil/production/1/saf_cn/publication/afh33-337/afh33-337_dafgm2021-01.pdf
› saf_cn › publication
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73 iranian women emtala abortion blake masters ... - Wonkette
https://www.wonkette.com/tag/emtala
Oh the betting markets lost big on the election, Kevin Drum? Smirk smirk, well not me! I'm still waiting to see if I quadrupled my money to become a ...
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74 September 2013 - Junk Charts
https://junkcharts.typepad.com/junk_charts/2013/09/
› junk_charts › 2013/09
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75 Available CRAN Packages By Name
https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/available_packages_by_name.html
› web › available_packages_b...
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76 Should People Who Make $250,000 a Year Worry About ...
https://www.thedailybeast.com/should-people-who-make-dollar250000-a-year-worry-about-obamas-tax-proposals
› should-people-who-m...
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77 A Study of Career-Ending Misconduct Among New York City ...
https://www.ojp.gov/pdffiles1/nij/grants/215795.pdf
ITEMS 46 - 51 · by JJ Fyfe · 2005 —
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78 Dropping the F-Bomb on the NORKS - Arms Control Wonk
https://www.armscontrolwonk.com/archive/201231/dropping-the-f-bomb-on-norks/
› archive › droppin...
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79 Caitlyn Jenner Lags Behind Faulconer, Cox, Ose in Challenge ...
https://www.newsweek.com/caitlyn-jenner-lags-behind-falcouner-cox-ose-challenge-gavin-newsom-poll-shows-1590528
› ... › Republicans › GOP
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80 Here Be Dragons: Telling Tales Of People, Passion and Power
https://books.google.com/books?id=92Vn3pdcWpYC&pg=PA377&lpg=PA377&dq=margin+of+error+kevin+drum&source=bl&ots=inGKYKQjq2&sig=ACfU3U2RWHe2ClTmDMOFi9xbT4uvNmFdpA&hl=en&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwjYofS7qeL7AhVzq3IEHbt3CysQ6AF6BQiqAhAD
Some, like Angela Ferrante, Colin MacKenzie, Bob Marshall, Kevin Doyle, Ian Brown, ... There was no margin for error. My budgets were drum tight.
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81 Democracy & Justice
https://www.brennancenter.org/sites/default/files/2019-08/Report_Democracy_Justice_Collected_Writings_2018.pdf
› default › files
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82 ED337409.pdf - ERIC
https://files.eric.ed.gov/fulltext/ED337409.pdf
by JM Starr · 1991 · Cited by 11 —
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83 Saddam’s Generals: Perspectives of the Iran-Iraq War
https://books.google.com/books?id=6MN0BQAAQBAJ&pg=PA36&lpg=PA36&dq=margin+of+error+kevin+drum&source=bl&ots=RHWCeZBVCf&sig=ACfU3U3H6DA9ic2VK8RiFm5GGUXvPK1lHw&hl=en&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwjYofS7qeL7AhVzq3IEHbt3CysQ6AF6BQiXAhAD
National Intelligence Council, Kevin M. Woods, Williamson Murray, Elizabeth A. ... to provide a commander a margin of error in case mistakes should happen.
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84 Significant majority of Republicans don't believe Biden's win ...
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/blog/meet-press-blog-latest-news-analysis-data-driving-political-discussion-n988541/ncrd1261306
› politics › blog › ncrd1261306
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85 Measurement of Laminar Burning Velocity of Methane-Air ...
https://web.wpi.edu/Pubs/E-project/Available/E-project-042308-085413/unrestricted/Laminar_Burning_Velocity_of_Methane-Air_Mixtures.pdf
by J Buffam · 2008 · Cited by 24 —
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86 qandamaster182.xml - Chegg
https://www.chegg.com/xml/qandamaster182.xml
... -5-margin-error-many-additional-people-must-survey-reduce-mar-q14086973 ... https://www.chegg.com/homework-help/questions-and-answers/drum-4--radius- ...
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87 The EarLens System: New Sound Transduction Methods - PMC
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2974567/
by R Perkins · 2010 · Cited by 33 —
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88 Campaign events vs. the fundamentals - Brendan Nyhan
https://www.brendan-nyhan.com/blog/2008/10/obamas-lead-and.html
› obamas-lead-and
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89 8.5: Chapter 53- Gerrymandering - Social Sci LibreTexts
https://socialsci.libretexts.org/Bookshelves/Political_Science_and_Civics/Attenuated_Democracy_(Hubert)/08%3A_Electoral_Politics_and_Public_Opinion/8.05%3A_Chapter_53-_Gerrymandering
› Bookshelves › 8.05:_Ch...
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90 Tracking Viral Misinformation - The New York Times
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2020/2020-election-misinformation-distortions/qanon-believers-us-survey
› qanon-believers-us-survey
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91 Page 2 of 3 - Civil Liberties, Technology, and Miscellany
http://marcbeebe.com/page/2/
Feb 4, 2019 —
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92 Dell Color Smart Printer S3840cdn User's Guide
https://dl.dell.com/manuals/all-products/esuprt_printers_main/esuprt_printers_color_laser/dell-s3840cdn-printer_users-guide_en-us.pdf
Replacing the Drum Cartridges. 218. Replacing the Waste Toner Box. 224. Cleaning the Exterior. 226. Cleaning the Touch Screen.
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93 News Clips - Quorum Report
http://quorumreport.com/Newsclips/newsclips.cfm
› Newsclips › newsclips
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94 Stefanik's rise seeded in New York's North Country
https://spectrumlocalnews.com/nys/central-ny/ny-state-of-politics/2021/05/07/stefanik-s-rise-seeded-in-new-york-s-north-country
› central-ny › 2021/05/07
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95 Wahoo Fishing Tips | High Speed Trolling
https://inthespread.com/wahoo-fishing-tips-high-speed-trolling
› wahoo-fishing-tips-high-spee...
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96 Crane Collapse Investigation 60 Hudson Street (occurred on ...
https://www1.nyc.gov/assets/buildings/pdf/crane_investigation_findings.pdf
› assets › buildings › pdf
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97 A Font-Like SVG Icon System for Vue - CSS-Tricks
https://css-tricks.com/a-font-like-svg-icon-system-for-vue/
› a-font-like-svg-icon-system-for-...
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